Huck's Main Street Steamroller

I'm posting tonight as the final tallies are being made of Iowa's caucus votes. With Mike Huckabee's strong victory, the mainstream conservatives who make up the backbone of the Republican party have spoken loudly and clearly. The elitist "thought-leaders" of the GOP have been humbled by a man whose very campaign is anathema to establishment Republicans. The margin of Huckabee's victory over Romney tonight surprised even me, and I've been hoping for a Huckabee win for months. I will say that Huck's margin would have been even greater but for his recent unwarranted attack on the Bush foreign policy, but that error will likely be forgotten in the avalanche of favorable press from tonight's big victory. Even now, the television talking heads do not appreciate the strength of the Main Street Steamroller, but I believe Huckabee can win the GOP nomination and the Presidency.

How can Mitt Romney overcome the hard truth that three out of four Iowa GOP caucus voters, after intense media exposure to Romney, chose someone else? I don't think Romney can overcome tonight's result. McCain will clean Romney's clock in New Hampshire five days from now, but I do not believe Republicans will nominate McCain for President. McCain has alienated too many GOP faithful with his apostasies on immigration, tax cuts, and First Amendment free speech restrictions. I also do not believe Thompson's 3rd place tie with McCain tonight is enough to keep his candidacy alive. Huckabee will blow him and everyone else away in South Carolina, forcing Thompson's withdrawal and leaving Giuliani as the sole alternative to Huckabee.

I am surprised by the results on the Democratic side. I would not have thought, prior to today, that Hillary could possibly finish worse than second in Iowa, but it looks like she may finish behind Edwards. I do not believe Edwards did well enough tonight to survive. He needed a victory or at least a close second to make a legitimate case for viability. I'm happy with this result, because I feared Edwards as the strongest general election threat for the Democrats. Obama's strength amazes me, and I wonder how Hillary will frame the debate in New Hampshire over the next five days. I suspect lots of muck and mud will be thrown at Obama in New Hampshire, and if Hillary loses that primary, look out! At that point, Democrats would be in full self-destruct mode.

I look forward to the next five days. We live in interesting times.